Morning Dashboard 2026-10-22

Cross-check

MIXED — differs: Consensus (3 independent gauges; all aligned = strong signal) · 逃生門 headline:

Liquidity

stress pts 0 (2/3 inputs)

SOFR−IORB -2bp (0)
SRF/repo 0.0bn (0)
HY OAS MISSING

Momentum

10/12 bullish checks

GSPC >20/50/200d ✓✓✓ · 3m +4.7% · 6m +8.7%
NDX >20/50/200d ✗✗✓ · 3m +4.8% · 6m +10.7%
%>50d 56% · NH−NL +23

Consensus

US weighted avg -0.33 on −2..+2 (8 traders)

bullish 1, very bullish 0, stale(50%) 2

Liquidity: stress points (SOFR−IORB >0:1, >5bp:2; SRF/repo >0:1, >$10bn:2; HY +50/+75bp vs 60d low:1/2, HY >500bp:+1); 0–1 green, 2–3 yellow, 4+ red. Momentum: share of bullish checks ≥75% green, ≥45% yellow. Consensus: avg stance ≥+0.5 green, ≤−0.5 red.

逃生門 Exit-door risk score

0/10

Correction Watch: off (fast 0≥3) Bear Watch: off (fast≥3 & slow 0≥2)

Normal — full exposure per system. Price inputs as of 2026-10-21

#	Warning	Type	Pts	Detail
W1	Funding stress	slow	0/1	SOFR−IORB last3 -2, -3, -2bp; repo 0.0bn
W1b	SOFR > IORB ≥3 consecutive days (user rule)	slow	0/1	current run above 0: 0 day(s)
W2	Credit spreads MISSING	slow	0/2	MISSING
W3	Breadth divergence	fast	0/1	SPX -0.8% vs 52wH; %>50d 56%; A/D line > 50d
W4	New lows rising	fast	0/1	NH/NL last3: 11/3, 25/1, 26/3
W5	Leaders breaking	fast	0/1	top-20 below 50d 10%; strong-idx 18.4% vs 20d high 18.4%
W6	Fed hawkish (partial)	slow	0/1	2y 4.81% Δ1m +5bp · FedWatch-style odds shown separately (info only, not scored)
W7a	SPX < 50d	fast	0/1	SPX 7,757 vs 50d 7,705
W7b	SPX < 200d & 200d falling	slow	0/1	200d 7,284, 1m slope +1.22%
W8	Volatility regime	fast	0/1	VIX 16.7 / VIX3M 18.7

Draft weights from spec §10, not yet validated. W6 = 2y Δ1m only; fed-funds-futures odds are shown as info and not scored.

Liquidity & rates

SOFR − IORB

-2 bp

as of 2026-10-20

SOFR 3.88% / IORB 3.90%; >0 = funding tight · SOFR: NY Fed API (FRED down) · IORB: official IORB 3.90% (federalreserve.gov, effective 2026-09-17); earlier history = target upper − 10bp (FRED down)

ON RRP usage

0.237 $bn

as of 2026-10-21

NY Fed API (FRED down)

Repo ops (incl. SRF)

0.000 $bn

as of 2026-10-21

NY Fed API (FRED down)

TGA (daily DTS)

$974bn

as of 2026-10-20

Treasury FiscalData DTS; 20d Δ -31bn

10y yield (live ^TNX)

5.15%

as of 2026-10-21

Yahoo ^TNX close

10y (US Treasury, official)

5.13%

as of 2026-10-21

US Treasury daily par yield curve, 10 Yr (FRED down; FRED DGS10 is sourced from this same Treasury series)

10y real (TIPS)

2.76%

as of 2026-10-21

20d Δ +13bp · US Treasury daily real par yield curve, 10 YR (FRED down; FRED DFII10 is sourced from this same Treasury series) · cross-check TIP ETF 20d -0.1% (agrees: TIP falls when real yields rise)

10y breakeven (nominal − real)

2.37%

as of 2026-10-21

derived: 5.13% − 2.76% · 20d Δ +4bp

DXY

101.68

as of 2026-10-21

20d +0.6% · Yahoo DX-Y.NYB

HY OAS

MISSING

as of — · MISSING

FRED BAMLH0A0HYM2 — FRED down; see HYG/IEF PROXY 代理 cards

HY credit PROXY 代理 (HYG/IEF)

0.8513 widening

as of 2026-10-20

PROXY 代理 for HY spread (ratio falls when credit spreads widen). 20d -1.26% · -1.88% vs 60d high · widening flag at ≤−1.5% · info only, not scored in W2

HY credit PROXY 代理 (HYG/LQD)

0.7443 widening

as of 2026-10-20

PROXY 代理 for HY spread (ratio falls when credit spreads widen). 20d -0.56% · -1.62% vs 60d high · widening flag at ≤−1.5% · info only, not scored in W2

SOFR − IORB spread, 12 months (bp)

Today: -2 bp · 5-day avg -2.0 bp · days >0 in 12m: 91 as of 2026-10-20

FRED SOFR − IORB, daily. Red shading + red dots = spread > 0 (SOFR above IORB, funding tight). Dashed grey = month-ends; orange = quarter-ends (QE).

Sentiment — Fear & Greed

FEAR
CNN Fear & Greed
prev close 27 · 1w 27 · 1m 34

as of 2026-10-22 07:59 HKT

Public sentiment — euphoria check

'+'PLACEHOLDER_AAII'+'

-2.9 pp

as of 2026-10-15

bull 38.7% · neutral 19.7% · bear 41.6% · percentile since 1987: 30 · weekly survey (Thu) · aaii.com sentiment.xls

Equity put/call (CBOE)

0.52

as of 2026-10-21

5d avg 0.58 · total P/C 0.87 · CBOE daily market statistics · CNN put/call component: 20 (extreme fear) — independent read

Euphoria = at least 2 of 3 available: CNN F&G 31 (euphoric if ≥75); AAII bull−bear -2.9pp (euphoric if ≥+20pp); equity P/C 5d avg 0.58 (euphoric if ≤0.50). Now: 0/3 → not euphoric. Feeds the CROWDED flag (not the 逃生門 score).

VIX / VIX3M term structure

0.891

not inverted
VIX 16.68 / VIX3M 18.72 · 20d max 0.975

as of 2026-10-21

Fast indicator, info only (W8 already counts VIX > VIX3M; weights unchanged). Yahoo ^VIX/^VIX3M · cross-check CBOE official 10-21: VIX 16.68 / VIX3M 18.72 = 0.891 vs Yahoo 0.891 (match).

Fed funds futures — FedWatch-style odds (derived estimate)

FOMC	Pre	Post	Δ bp	Implied odds of 25bp move	Cum. vs EFFR bp	Method
2026-10-28	3.880%	3.920%	+4.0	hike ≈16%	+4	next-month contract ZQX26.CBT
2026-12-09	3.920%	4.138%	+21.8	hike ≈87%	+26	meeting-month contract ZQZ26.CBT
2027-01-27	4.138%	4.245%	+10.7	hike ≈43%	+37	next-month contract ZQG27.CBT

DERIVED ESTIMATE, not CME FedWatch (CME blocks scripts). Start = EFFR 3.88% (NY Fed, 2026-10-20). Implied rate = 100 − ZQ settle (Yahoo, CBOT 30-day fed funds). CME-style month-average method; odds = |Δ| ÷ 25bp. Contracts: ZQV26.CBT 96.115 → 3.885% (10-21) · ZQX26.CBT 96.080 → 3.920% (10-21) · ZQZ26.CBT 95.925 → 4.075% (10-21) · ZQF27.CBT 95.855 → 4.145% (10-21) · ZQG27.CBT 95.755 → 4.245% (10-21) · ZQH27.CBT 95.675 → 4.325% (10-21)

US breadth — S&P 500

as of 2026-10-21 universe 503 current constituents (Wikipedia) — survivorship caveat

% > 20d

74%

% > 50d

56%

% > 200d

56%

Adv / Dec

281 / 221

52w New Highs

52w New Lows

% above 50d (120d)

Cumulative A/D line (250d)

Breadth divergence: not flagged SPX -0.8% vs 52w high (near = within 2%: yes) · % > 50d 56% vs 20-session peak 56% (drop 0 pts; flag at >10-pt drop). Info only.

New highs, cap ≥ $2B (26), sorted by RS: MRNA, VEEV, CRL, ZBRA, CNC, HAS, APA, FDS, A, ADP, MTD, WAT, CAH, COP, V, TMO, WST, ELV, CVX, MA, MET, TRV, CTAS, HLT, CDW, BRK-B

NH/NL = intraday high/low at 252d extreme. Cap from Nasdaq screener; 0 new-high names lacked cap data and are excluded from named list.

強勢股指數 Strong-stock index

as of 2026-10-21

18.4%

of S&P 500 is "strong" (RS pct ≥80 & > 50d). RS = 0.4·RS1m + 0.3·RS3m + 0.3·RS6m, RSn = stock ret / SPX ret − 1. 20d high 18.4%

Top 20

#	Ticker	Sector	Cap	RS pct	RS1m	RS3m	RS6m	vs 52wH	>50d
1	MRNA Moderna	Health Care	$97B	99	+35%	+312%	+307%	-3.4%	✓
2	VEEV Veeva Systems	Health Care	$52B	99	+23%	+70%	+80%	-0.8%	✓
3	MPC Marathon Petroleum	Energy	$133B	99	+20%	+44%	+95%	-5.3%	✓
4	P Everpure	Information Technology	$42B	98	+18%	+66%	+74%	-16.9%	✓
5	ILMN Illumina, Inc.	Health Care	$40B	98	+14%	+37%	+99%	-8.6%	✓
6	CRL Charles River Laboratories	Health Care	$15B	98	+21%	+44%	+72%	-1.2%	✓
7	PTC PTC Inc.	Information Technology	$21B	98	+39%	+64%	+27%	-6.0%	✓
8	VLO Valero Energy	Energy	$125B	98	+16%	+37%	+73%	-5.4%	✓
9	ACN Accenture	Information Technology	$160B	97	+32%	+67%	+19%	-15.1%	✓
10	NTAP NetApp	Information Technology	$41B	97	+13%	+26%	+81%	-9.8%	✓
11	PSX Phillips 66	Energy	$116B	97	+13%	+35%	+68%	-3.1%	✓
12	IT Gartner	Information Technology	$14B	97	+23%	+57%	+29%	-15.9%	✓
13	ZBRA Zebra Technologies	Information Technology	$18B	97	+8%	+45%	+56%	-0.5%	✓
14	NOW ServiceNow	Information Technology	$155B	96	+12%	+59%	+37%	-20.6%	✓
15	DDOG Datadog	Information Technology	$92B	96	+10%	+7%	+90%	-9.2%	✓
16	WDAY Workday, Inc.	Information Technology	$49B	96	+8%	+52%	+48%	-18.0%	✓
17	CRWD CrowdStrike	Information Technology	$233B	96	-4%	+25%	+89%	-16.6%	✓
18	HUM Humana	Health Care	$51B	96	+14%	+3%	+80%	-6.8%	✓
19	DELL Dell Technologies	Information Technology	$293B	95	-11%	+6%	+109%	-18.3%	✗
20	HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise	Information Technology	$74B	95	-5%	+17%	+89%	-20.9%	✗

Sectors

Sector	N	Avg RS pct	Δ1w	% strong	Δ1w pp	% >50d
Health Care	60.0	71	+0.9	43%	+0	78%
Energy	21.0	67	+0.3	38%	+5	81%
Information Technology	75.0	58	-10.6	32%	-3	56%
Consumer Staples	33.0	58	+1.8	15%	+3	73%
Financials	76.0	50	+7.7	11%	+5	45%
Materials	24.0	46	+2.6	8%	+0	67%
Consumer Discretionary	47.0	43	+4.3	21%	+13	49%
Industrials	81.0	41	-2.5	9%	+0	49%
Utilities	31.0	36	-2.0	0%	+0	68%
Communication Services	22.0	36	+2.4	5%	+0	36%
Real Estate	30.0	33	+1.1	3%	+3	20%

HK corner

HSI

23,033 -2.6%

as of 2026-10-22 10:40 HKT

vs 50d 24,950: -7.7% · 50d slope 1w -0.65%

富途後備 Futu fallback · level from Futu (live)

HSTECH

3,832 -4.1%

as of 2026-10-22 10:40 HKT

vs 50d — (Yahoo history unavailable)

富途後備 Futu fallback · level from Futu (live)

HSI constituents (85): 31% > 50d · 38% > 200d · A/D 23/59 as of 2026-10-21

Constituent list from Wikipedia (may lag HSI reviews). Index levels: Yahoo daily; when Yahoo lags, 富途後備 Futu public quote (futunn.com, may be delayed) fills HSI/HSTECH. HSI 23,033.47 asof 2026-10-22 via Futu live (Yahoo was 2026-10-20) · HSTECH 3,831.65 asof 2026-10-22 via Futu live (Yahoo was MISSING)

富途／長橋後備 · Futu/LongPort fallback used for index levels (LongPort not reachable from this build host; Futu public page used): HSI 23,033.47 asof 2026-10-22 via Futu live (Yahoo was 2026-10-20) · HSTECH 3,831.65 asof 2026-10-22 via Futu live (Yahoo was MISSING)

Overnight China ADRs

ADR	Close $	1d	HK-implied HKD	vs HK close	As of
BABA	108.61	+0.0%	106.52	+2.7%	2026-10-20
JD	26.76	-0.1%	104.98	+2.2%	2026-10-20
BIDU	80.50	+0.9%	78.95	+1.6%	2026-10-20
NTES	125.11	-0.1%	196.33	+0.9%	2026-10-20
TCOM	40.30	+1.8%	316.20	+1.1%	2026-10-20
BILI	13.92	-0.6%	109.22	+1.5%	2026-10-20
NIO	3.43	+1.2%	26.91	+2.5%	2026-10-20
LI	11.93	+5.7%	46.80	+2.1%	2026-10-20
XPEV	9.91	+7.6%	38.88	+5.1%	2026-10-20
PDD	81.63	+0.3%	—	—	2026-10-20
KWEB	24.35	+0.3%	—	—	2026-10-20
FXI	33.51	-0.1%	—	—	2026-10-20

Implied = ADR × USDHKD ÷ ADR ratio (BABA 8, JD 2, BIDU 8, NTES 5, TCOM/BILI/NIO 1, LI/XPEV 2 — ratios hard-coded, verify). HK close is prior HK session.

Southbound (Stock Connect, SSE+SZSE) net buy: -4.43 HK$bn as of 2026-10-21 buy 33.1bn / sell 37.6bn · last 5 sessions sum -14.9bn (10-14 -0.1, 10-15 -5.1, 10-16 -3.6, 10-20 -1.7, 10-21 -4.4)

Source: HKEX official Stock Connect daily statistics (hkex.com.hk). Net = buy − sell turnover (HK$ mn in HKEX table). Single official publisher; no third-party feeds used.

黃金／比特幣強弱 Gold / Bitcoin strength

Gold (GC=F futures)

4,135.1 WEAK

as of 2026-10-21

1w +0.7% · 1m -5.7% · 3m -0.4%

vs 50d 4,358.0: -5.1% · vs 200d 4,537.3: -8.9% · 200d falling · score 0/5

Bitcoin (BTC-USD)

82,941.0 STRONG

as of 2026-10-20

1w -0.2% · 1m +2.2% · 3m +24.7%

vs 50d 81,569.9: +1.7% · vs 200d 72,650.3: +14.2% · 200d rising · score 5/5

Gold vs BTC, 1 month: -7.7% (BTC stronger)

Strength only — not a trade signal. Score = 1 point each for: price > 50d avg, price > 200d avg, 200d avg rising (vs 20 bars ago), 1m change > 0, 3m change > 0. 4–5 = STRONG, 2–3 = NEUTRAL, 0–1 = WEAK. Changes are calendar 7/30/91 days; averages are 50/200 daily bars (BTC trades 7 days a week). Yahoo Finance via yfinance; sparkline 250 bars with dashed 200d avg.

Rotation — QQQ / GLD / BTC / cash

Leader: BTC-USD

Rk		1m	3m	6m	Vol20	Score	>200d	As of
1	BTC-USD	-0.8%	+28.2%	+26.4%	22%	0.83	✓	2026-10-20
2	BIL	+0.3%	+0.9%	+1.8%	0%	0.50	✓	2026-10-20
3	QQQ	-3.2%	+1.8%	+11.6%	15%	0.22	✓	2026-10-20
4	GLD	-5.2%	-0.4%	-12.1%	21%	-0.28	✗	2026-10-20

Score = mean(1/3/6m ret) ÷ 20d ann. vol. Leader must be > 200d and beat BIL 6m (dual momentum), else CASH. BTC as of its last daily bar (UTC).

Calendar

Date (US)	In	Event	Source
2026-10-28	6d	FOMC decision	October 27-28 (federalreserve.gov); statement 14:00 ET
2026-11-11	20d	CPI	Core CPI (Nasdaq econ calendar)
2026-12-09	48d	FOMC decision	December 8-9* (federalreserve.gov); statement 14:00 ET
—	d	NFP	MISSING — not found in Nasdaq econ calendar next 45d (BLS site blocks bots)

Key earnings, next 2 weeks (≥$200B cap, mega-caps, or RS top-20)

Date (US)	Sym	Name	When	Cap	EPS est
2026-10-22	PG	Procter & Gamble Company (The)	BMO	$370B	$1.89
2026-10-22	VLO	Valero Energy Corporation	BMO	$125B	$21.28
2026-10-23	AXP	American Express Company	BMO	$215B	$4.47
2026-10-27	HSBC	HSBC Holdings plc	n/a	$319B	$2.13
2026-10-27	KO	Coca-Cola Company (The)	BMO	$402B	$0.87
2026-10-27	NVS	Novartis AG	BMO	$293B	$2.25
2026-10-27	V	Visa Inc.	AMC	$726B	$3.43
2026-10-28	GEV	GE Vernova Inc.	BMO	$237B	$4.03
2026-10-28	GOOG	Alphabet Inc.	AMC	$4162B	$2.94
2026-10-28	GOOGL	Alphabet Inc.	AMC	$4162B	$2.94
2026-10-28	KLAC	KLA Corporation	AMC	$211B	$1.18
2026-10-28	MSFT	Microsoft Corporation	AMC	$3949B	$4.71
2026-10-28	NOW	ServiceNow, Inc.	AMC	$155B	$0.56
2026-10-28	PSX	Phillips 66	BMO	$116B	$12.02
2026-10-29	AMZN	Amazon.com, Inc.	AMC	$2833B	$2.02
2026-10-29	CAT	Caterpillar, Inc.	BMO	$333B	$7.12
2026-10-29	ILMN	Illumina, Inc.	AMC	$40B	$1.38
2026-10-29	INTC	Intel Corporation	AMC	$485B	$0.28
2026-10-29	LIN	Linde plc	BMO	$231B	$4.52
2026-10-29	LLY	Eli Lilly and Company	BMO	$1208B	$5.38
2026-10-29	MA	Mastercard Incorporated	BMO	$543B	$5.14
2026-10-29	MRK	Merck & Company, Inc.	BMO	$366B	$2.12
2026-10-29	SHEL	Shell PLC	BMO	$290B	$3.25
2026-10-30	ABBV	AbbVie Inc.	BMO	$511B	$3.76
2026-10-30	AZN	AstraZeneca PLC	BMO	$256B	$2.16
2026-10-30	CVX	Chevron Corporation	BMO	$446B	$4.78
2026-10-30	XOM	ExxonMobil Holdings Corporatio	BMO	$731B	$3.93
2026-11-02	AAPL	Apple Inc.	AMC	$4955B	$2
2026-11-02	PLTR	Palantir Technologies Inc.	AMC	$463B	$0.34
2026-11-03	AMD	Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.	AMC	$873B	$1.68
2026-11-03	AMGN	Amgen Inc.	AMC	$237B	$5.72
2026-11-03	ANET	Arista Networks, Inc.	AMC	$229B	$0.99
2026-11-03	IT	Gartner, Inc.	BMO	$14B	$2.86
2026-11-03	MPC	Marathon Petroleum Corporation	BMO	$133B	$25.63
2026-11-03	SHOP	Shopify Inc.	BMO	$224B	$0.33
2026-11-03	ZBRA	Zebra Technologies Corporation	BMO	$18B	$4.21
2026-11-04	ARM	Arm Holdings plc	AMC	$235B	$0.22
2026-11-04	CRL	Charles River Laboratories Int	BMO	$15B	$2.98
2026-11-04	DDOG	Datadog, Inc.	BMO	$92B	$0.18
2026-11-04	PTC	PTC Inc.	AMC	$21B	$1.59
2026-11-04	TM	Toyota Motor Corp Ltd Ord	n/a	$256B

Source: Nasdaq earnings calendar (unofficial API), pulled 2026-10-22 10:55 HKT. BMO/AMC are US Eastern sessions; AMC lands ~04:00–05:00 HKT next day. Rows within 48h highlighted.

Trader consensus

US stocks: cautious 4 · neutral 3 · bullish 1 · no US view 3 → Overall: neutral

very cautiouscautiousneutralbullishvery bullishno view

US stances filled: 8/11 (quorum ≥4) · weighted avg -0.33 on −2..+2 · stale (>10d) weighted 50%: 2 · Headline band (逃生門)

Other markets: HK stocks: cautious (n=5, avg -0.78) · Gold: — (n=0) · Crypto: neutral (n=1, avg +0.00)

GREEN LIGHT: not triggered CROWDED: not triggered

Trader	US stocks	HK stocks	Gold	Crypto	As of	Source
J Law	cautious	—	—	—	2026-10-20	Exited TQQQ, trimmed SOXL, raised cash; broad risk-off in AI hardware/semis; 'best trading window of the year is behind us'.
★ Ah Ju 阿豬	cautious	—	—	neutral	2026-10-19	AI credit domino risk (cloud/compute bonds, circular financing); US yields at 20-yr high as crash precursor; SPCX sell-into-strength, Nov lockup; BTC/ETH at key level (neutral).
Ringo 短炒波士	—	neutral	—	—	2026-10-20	HSI range 24,000 support / 25,000 resistance; took profit pre-CPI; would long near 24,000; US dip-buy watch; HSI broke 24,000 on 10-20.
小金人 Oscar (金人金語)	cautious	cautious	—	—	2026-10-04 待更新 needs update	Global sovereign yield surge is the 3-6m main theme; most assets overpriced; AI still OK; HK/banks weak.
★ Sky Sir 張士佳 (Sky財經天地)	neutral	cautious	—	—	2026-10-20	US neutral: trimmed at NQ high, ~9% index position left, didn't call exit; sees CDS-driven shakeout before further rise, waits for buy-back signal. HK cautious/short bias (targets 22,xxx).
Uncle Stock Notes 大叔美股筆記	bullish	—	—	—	2026-10-21	AI demand intact: memory tight to 2028, optical sold out; prefers MRVL/AVGO/LITE, NBIS; not afraid of SOXL at 100.
★ 陳刀仔 DataLouder 數說財經	cautious	—	—	—	2026-10-21	US risk signal triggered 10-13 and 10-19; fund flows poor for a month. Medium-term constructive: midterm backtest says pre-election low then ~+15% median 12m.
Eric 投機先要溫功課	neutral	cautious	—	—	2026-10-12	HK cautious: downtrend structure intact, banks breaking down with no matching bad news; next support ~22,500. US neutral/OK: SPX breakout after 4 tests; avoid AI upstream, likes cybersecurity. High rates not a proven crash 'kill line'.
Bubble Dragon	—	cautious	—	—	2026-10-21	Cut ~HK$10M of ~14M positions, can't find buys; AI concerns unresolved; HK very hard; only short-term trades; keeps dividend stocks.
Calvin Tsai	—	—	—	—	2026-10-05 待更新 needs update	Latest X post is non-market (health). No current crypto view.
James & Dennis (Aireturn)	neutral	—	—	—	2026-10-21	經濟前James 10-21: not a 2007-Oct style top/bear start — AI underlying demand (GPU/HBM/compute) still rising, no A1 'debt bomb' coverage, SOFR−IORB still negative, credit spreads not spiking; expects choppy grind higher, limited rebound momentum (few shorts), real-yield-driven revaluation. TSLA/SpaceX merger = strong catalyst. Watch CoreWeave/Oracle bond yields (9%→15-16%), HY spreads.

Core-three override status: not triggered.

規則 rules

GREEN LIGHT condition: if more than half of filled US stances (weighted; stale ones count 50%) are bullish/very bullish, AND risk score ≤2, AND SPX > 50d, AND ≥50% of S&P 500 > 50d → may press harder, still within the band's risk limits (cf. Apr 2026). The followed traders agreeing feeds only this flag.

CROWDED condition: outside/public sentiment is euphoric (at least 2 of 3: CNN Fear & Greed ≥75 extreme greed, AAII bull−bear ≥+20pp, CBOE equity put/call 5d avg ≤0.50; now 0/3), AND SPX ≥5% above 50d (now +0.7%), AND breadth is fading (%>50d down >5pp in 10d or A/D line below its 50d; now no) → don't chase, tighten stops. Trader stances are NOT used.

Core-three override condition: if ★ Ah Ju + Sky Sir + 陳刀仔 are all cautious or very cautious → STRONG WARNING (≥ Yellow).

Overall stance: per market, weighted average of filled stances on −2..+2 (very cautious −2 … very bullish +2); a stance older than 10 days is marked 待更新 and gets 50% weight: ≥+1.5 very bullish, ≥+0.5 bullish, >−0.5 neutral, >−1.5 cautious, else very cautious. The US score and GREEN LIGHT use US stances only, so an HK-bearish view does not lower the US score. Blank = trader gave no view for that market.

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Symbols: TVC:SPX · NASDAQ:NDX · TVC:HSI · HSI:HSTECH · TVC:GOLD · BITSTAMP:BTCUSD. HSTECH = HSI:HSTECH (Hang Seng Indexes). Charts default light/cream.